Even if Jackson returns for the postseason, no one knows how rusty he'll be and how this injury will affect his mobility. A matchup with the Dolphins would be a reunion with wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who played six seasons in K.C. FPI chances to win division: Eliminated -- NFC defensive player. Tennessee Titans (BYE) 2. 13. More teams have claimed their spots in the NFC and AFC. "He's in my top three receivers. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques, What's the best way to handle Hill and Waddle? Predicting the NFL playoff picture: We simulated scores for the final 32 regular-season games, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? Offensive tackles Donovan Smith and Tristan Wirfs are getting over foot and ankle injuries, respectively. The ESPN Analytics team's live playoff probabilities -- which combine live in-game win probabilities with our Football Power Index (FPI) season projections -- will provide each team's playoff chances throughout the Week 18 slate. The Dolphins can't clinch in Week 16, but a victory in Week 17 over the Bills would do it, as would a loss by the Ravens, Browns or Colts. And yes, that means a sub-.500 team will officially win the division, one way or the other. The Dolphins haven't successfully generated a consistent pass rush all season, and their special teams rank among the league's worst in terms of returns and returns allowed. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. Check out the entire experience here, as we track the NFC and AFC playoff races in Week 18. How they've thrived, plus next-contract predictions, Week 17 NFL buzz: Predicting possible late-season surprises, concerning trends, offseason fixes, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Las Vegas Raiders (7-10) 1 seed in Week 17: After the Cowboys beat the Gardner Minshew-led Eagles in Week 16, there was very brief No. I know how he works, what he demands of himself and the people around him. Sunday's win over the Giants, combined with the Browns' loss to the Jets, pushed the Ravens back into the playoff picture. He can hurt you with his legs." (6) Ravens at (3) Bengals FPI chances to win division: Clinched -- Nick Wagoner, What has McCaffrey brought to this offense? Super Bowl odds: +420 All-in approach pays off for Rams 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, NFL playoff schedule: Chiefs beat Eagles in Super Bowl, Offseason guide for every NFL team: Draft outlook, key free agents, priorities and predictions, Ranking potential NFL head-coach openings from 7 to 1: The Colts need a lot of work, but one team is intriguing. ago NYJ-SEA: Seahawks 13, Jets 6 They can clinch a playoff berth with a win at the Falcons combined with a loss by the 49ers. The Jaguars beat the Titans to win the AFC South crown. So we're focusing on one specific scenario: chalk. And with a healthy Lamar Jackson back in the fray, this is no gimme for Cincinnati. Their 6-3 start included a pair of 14-point wins over the playoff-bound Giants and Chargers. Result: Defeated the Atlanta Falcons 17-9 and clinched a playoff berth after losses by the New York Jets and New England Patriots. Washington Commanders (8-8-1) Current AFC Playoff Picture *x clinched playoff berth, y clinched No. 1 overall draft pick in late-season stunner: Arizona has just a 2% chance to earn the No. DAL-WSH: Cowboys 47, Commanders 7. Using ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), we determined the most likely seed combination in each conference. Jaguars come back to steal AFC South crown: It wasn't pretty. FPI chances to make playoffs: 91.9% FPI chances to win division: Eliminated This is the first playoff meeting between the teams. Bosa deal will 'break the entire bank' Result: The Commanders fell 24-10 to the Cleveland Browns and were eliminated after the Packers defeated the Vikings. NFL playoff picture 2021 - Standings, brackets, scenarios after Christmas Day games, plus Week 16 outlook Skip to main content Skip to navigation Full Scoreboard Search You have reached ESPN's Australian edition. CHI-DET: Bears 37, Lions 29 Nate Davis. http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine Allows you to simulate the schedule to generate playoff matchups, seedings, etc. Since quarterback Dak Prescott's return from a thumb injury, the Cowboys are averaging the most points per game (32.5) and have been superb on third down (52.3% conversion percentage). ESPN's NFL Playoff Machine is BACK!!! 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Welcome to the 2023 QB market, Derek Carr: Where he could fit, and why the domino effect already has begun, Is the improvement from Geno, Jalen and Tua real? Jaguars vs. 5. In the AFC wild-card race, the Dolphins lose at New England, hurting their playoff chances. 15. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. ET, NBC). "He's a good player, but he's not the same caliber of pass-rusher that [Joey] Bosa is. 2, 68.9%, How did the Rams come back? NFL Week 16 playoff picture and clinching scenarios: Bills win AFC East, Chargers, Ravens clinch berths, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? They can rectify that by beating the Bears in Week 17. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Packers are eliminated from playoff contention after loss to the Detroit Lions. QB Hot Board | First-round grades Facebook; Twitter; Facebook Messenger; Pinterest; Email; print; The Week 18 NFL schedule for the 2021 season is stacked with great matchups, and we got you covered with what you need to know heading into the weekend. Dallas comes through again, while Buffalo gets its vengeance over Kansas City for the past two postseasons. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? Reason for hope: The Vikings have won all 11 of their games this season that have been decided by one score, an NFL record. Reason for concern: For most of the season, the Vikings' defense has ranked last in the NFL in yards allowed. Packers charge into playoffs: Following a 40-33 Week 12 loss to the Eagles, the Packers looked done. So I just say the command and just his overall ability was just a lot different." We can't have him rolling out and just throwing the ball anywhere. Miami makes for a dangerous No. 1 seeds in each conference -- the Chiefs in the AFC and the Eagles in the NFC -- will receive first-round byes. More teams have claimed their spots in the NFC and AFC. But the thing about a 3% chance? This marks the first playoff matchup between the AFC North rivals. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) "I felt like Geno just had a little bit more command over that offense. Head over to the 2021 NFL Playoff Bracket AFC Away = Home AFC vs NFC NFC Away = Home Teams on BYE = Team coming off BYE Upload Bracket Draft Order Reddit Markdown Export HTML/Blog Export Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? Kansas City clinched the 1-seed in the AFC with its win over the Las Vegas Raiders. If the Buccaneers were to defeat the Panthers in Week 17, they would wrap up the NFC South title and lock up the No. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. Super Bowl odds: +3500 Things get complicated. 6. -- Ben Baby, Where does Burrow rank among QBs in the fourth quarter? Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) NFL playoff picture: Dolphins clinch last AFC spot, final NFC spot still up for grabs, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? 1 seed, z clinched division 1. y Tennessee Titans (12-5) 2. z Kansas City Chiefs (12-5) 3. z Buffalo Bills (11-6) 4. z Cincinnati Bengals (10-7) 5. x Las Vegas Raiders (10-7) 1, 79.7%. The Panthers give them a run for it, but Brady leads a drive for a game-winning field goal to give Tampa Bay the 24-21 decision. The offense has sputtered during the final month of the season, and Tagovailoa, while still one of the more efficient passers in the NFL, was struggling as opposing defenses took away timing routes over the middle of the field. FPI gives it about a 13% chance of happening. FPI chances to win division: Clinched BAL-CIN: Bengals 31, Ravens 25 That sets up the Cowboys against the 49ers in the NFC Championship Game, while the Bills and Chiefs square off in an AFC Championship Game of two heavyweights. We're here to help sort through the chaos of who will be in once the dust settles. 2 seed in the conference. SF-LV: Raiders 23, 49ers 16 They'll either need to beat the Packers in Week 17 or have the Cardinals lose to the Rams in order to secure their postseason spot. Can the Lions fix their defense? First-game outlook: The Cowboys will play at the Buccaneers in the wild-card round Monday, Jan. 16 (8:15 p.m. Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? DeMar DeRozan missed half of those losses but is now back and rolling . Ultimately, they won when Falcons Pro Bowl kicker Younghoe Koo missed what would have been a game-tying 39-yard field goal with 9 seconds remaining. They'll now need either a win in Week 17 or a loss by the Bears to do so. Nfl Playoff Picture 2021 - Week 17 Standings, Bracket, Clinching. Mocks: Kiper | McShay | Miller | Reid Best fits for top 50 NFL free agents Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. "He's the focal point of their defense. CLE-PIT: Browns 20, Steelers 12 Los Angeles, making its first playoff appearance since 2018, was stomped by the Jaguars 38-10 at home in Week 3. His 77.8 QBR in Weeks 15-17 (vs. Washington, Minnesota, Indianapolis) was second best in the NFL during that span and helped the Giants clinch their first playoff berth since 2016. NBA Playoff Picture: Eastern Conference. 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